Trading Corner: Focusing in on the Signals for Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)

Following some signal indicators for Toll Brothers Inc (TOL), we have recorded the 100-day moving average verse price signal as Sell. This is the signal from the 100-day MA which is used to gauge changes in stock price. The 100-day MA verse price direction is currently showing Strongest. Another longer-term signal we have been following is the 60-day commodity channel index. After a recent look, we can see the current signal is Sell. The CCI indicator is generally used to scope out overbought and oversold levels. The CCI signal direction is presently Weakest.

When getting into the markets, most investors realize that riskier stocks may have an increased potential for higher returns. If investors decide to take a chance on some of these stocks, they may want to employ some standard techniques to help manage that risk. This may involve creating a diversified stock portfolio. Mixing up the portfolio with stocks from different sectors, market caps, and growth potential, may be the right move. In general, the goal is to maximize returns in accordance with the individual’s specific risk profile. It should be obvious that no matter how well rounded the portfolio is, there are always risks in the equity markets. Having a sound plan before investing can help ease the burden of knowing that markets can sometimes do crazy things without any rhyme or reason. 

Let’s take a look at some historical average volume information on shares of Toll Brothers Inc (TOL). Currently, the stock has a 1 month average volume of 1519762. Investors may be trying to identify volume trends over time. Some investors may look for consistency, while others may be interested in strange activity. Looking at some more average volume numbers, the 20 day is 1538905, and the 50 day average volume is noted as 1524394.

Tracking some recent stock price action, we can see that Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) recently touched 35.47. Since the start of the trading session, the stock has hit a high of 35.72 and dropped to a low of 35.28. Market watchers will be closely following company shares into the second half of the year. Interested investors will be trying to figure out if the stock is building momentum or following any defined trends.

Checking out some other company technical data, we have noted that Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) currently has a 9 day raw stochastic value of 29.01%. This value (ranging from 0-100%) shows where the stock price closed relative to the price range over the specified period. Zooming in on another other raw stochastic time frame, we can see that the 50 day is 22.34%.

Active investors are typically interested in the factors that drive stock price movements. Buying an individual stock means that you own a piece of the company. The hope is that the company does very well and becomes highly profitable. A profitable company may decide to do various things with the profits. They may reinvest profits back into the business, or they may choose to pay shareholders dividends from those earnings. Sometimes stocks may eventually become undervalued or overvalued. Spotting these trends may lead to further examination or the underlying fundamentals of the company. A company that continues to disappoint on the earnings front may have some issues that need to be addressed. It is highly important to make sure all the research is done on a stock, especially if the investor is heavily weighted on the name. Sometimes earnings reports may be good, but the stock price does not reflect that. Having a good understanding of the entire picture may help investors better travel the winding stock market road.

As we sail into the second half of the calendar year, investors may be looking to see what has gone right and what has gone wrong so far this year. Making necessary changes to some holdings may help position investors for the next couple of quarters. Being able to cut the riskier losers and take some profits from winners may help solidify the stock portfolio. As we run through the next round of company earnings reports, investors will be keeping a close eye on the data that is reported. Investors may be looking to buy companies that continue to post beats on the earnings front, and cut ties with ones that are not hitting their marks.    

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